Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review
Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review
}
TY - GEN
T1 - Methodological Aspects of Determining the Probability of Power Shortage in the Power System
AU - Oboskalov, Vladislav P.
AU - Valiev, Rustam T.
AU - Mahnitko, Anatolijs
AU - Gavrilovs, Aleksandrs
PY - 2022
Y1 - 2022
N2 - The problem of determining the probabilistic indices of power shortage in a concentrated electric power system (EPS) on the calculated time interval is considered. The difference between the concepts of 'point' (PPPS) and 'interval' (IPPS) probability of PS is shown. The multiplicity of definitions of the IPPS is presented. It is recommended to take the fraction of time at which the EPS is in a deficient state as an IPPS. Mathematical mechanisms for determining the interval probability of power shortage are analyzed. It is proposed to take the weighted average duration of the power shortage with the weights of the PPPS as the IPPS. A strong correlation is shown between the point probabilities of PS of the most dangerous regimes (maximum daily, weekly monthly or annual loads). © 2022 IEEE.
AB - The problem of determining the probabilistic indices of power shortage in a concentrated electric power system (EPS) on the calculated time interval is considered. The difference between the concepts of 'point' (PPPS) and 'interval' (IPPS) probability of PS is shown. The multiplicity of definitions of the IPPS is presented. It is recommended to take the fraction of time at which the EPS is in a deficient state as an IPPS. Mathematical mechanisms for determining the interval probability of power shortage are analyzed. It is proposed to take the weighted average duration of the power shortage with the weights of the PPPS as the IPPS. A strong correlation is shown between the point probabilities of PS of the most dangerous regimes (maximum daily, weekly monthly or annual loads). © 2022 IEEE.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?partnerID=8YFLogxK&scp=85146233664
UR - https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=tsmetrics&SrcApp=tsm_test&DestApp=WOS_CPL&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=000927876900012
U2 - 10.1109/RTUCON56726.2022.9978782
DO - 10.1109/RTUCON56726.2022.9978782
M3 - Conference contribution
T3 - IEEE Annual International Scientific Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University, RTUCON, Proceedings
SP - 1
EP - 4
BT - 63rd IEEE Annual International Scientific Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University, RTUCON 2022, Proceedings
PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
T2 - 2022 IEEE 63th International Scientific Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University (RTUCON)
Y2 - 10 October 2022 through 12 October 2022
ER -
ID: 33988776