The problem of determining the probabilistic indices of power shortage in a concentrated electric power system (EPS) on the calculated time interval is considered. The difference between the concepts of 'point' (PPPS) and 'interval' (IPPS) probability of PS is shown. The multiplicity of definitions of the IPPS is presented. It is recommended to take the fraction of time at which the EPS is in a deficient state as an IPPS. Mathematical mechanisms for determining the interval probability of power shortage are analyzed. It is proposed to take the weighted average duration of the power shortage with the weights of the PPPS as the IPPS. A strong correlation is shown between the point probabilities of PS of the most dangerous regimes (maximum daily, weekly monthly or annual loads). © 2022 IEEE.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication63rd IEEE Annual International Scientific Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University, RTUCON 2022, Proceedings
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages1-4
Number of pages4
ISBN (Electronic)978-166546558-8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2022
Event2022 IEEE 63th International Scientific Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University (RTUCON) - Riga, Latvia
Duration: 10 Oct 202212 Oct 2022

Publication series

NameIEEE Annual International Scientific Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University, RTUCON, Proceedings

Conference

Conference2022 IEEE 63th International Scientific Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University (RTUCON)
Period10/10/202212/10/2022

    WoS ResearchAreas Categories

  • Engineering, Electrical & Electronic

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computer Science Applications
  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology
  • Automotive Engineering
  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering

ID: 33988776