Research output: Contribution to journal › Conference article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to journal › Conference article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Stochastically‐induced dynamics of earthquakes
AU - Makoveeva, Eugenya v.
AU - Tsvetkov, Ivan n.
AU - Ryashko, Lev b.
N1 - This work was supported by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation (project no. FEUZ‐2021‐0014).
PY - 2024/5/30
Y1 - 2024/5/30
N2 - Motivated by an important geophysical application, we analyze the nonlinear dynamics of the number of earthquakes per unit time in a given Earth's surface area. At first, we consider a dynamical model of earthquakes describing their rhythmic behavior with time delays. This model comprises different earthquake scenarios divided into three types (A, B, and C) accordingly to various system dynamics. We show that the deterministic system contains stable equilibria and a limit cycle whose size drastically depends on the production rate (Formula presented.) of earthquakes and their time delay effect. As this takes place, the frequency of earthquakes possesses an oscillatory behavior dependent on (Formula presented.). To study the role of (Formula presented.) in more detail, we have introduced a white Gaussian noise in the governing equation. First of all, we have shown that the dynamical system is stochastically excitable, that is, it excites larger-amplitude noise-induced fluctuations in the frequency of earthquakes. In addition, these large-amplitude stochastic fluctuations can alternate with small-amplitude fluctuations over time. In other words, the frequency of earthquakes can change its amplitude in an irregular manner under the influence of white noise. Another important effect is how close the current value of (Formula presented.) is to its bifurcation point. The closer this value is, the less noise generates large-amplitude fluctuations in the earthquake frequency.
AB - Motivated by an important geophysical application, we analyze the nonlinear dynamics of the number of earthquakes per unit time in a given Earth's surface area. At first, we consider a dynamical model of earthquakes describing their rhythmic behavior with time delays. This model comprises different earthquake scenarios divided into three types (A, B, and C) accordingly to various system dynamics. We show that the deterministic system contains stable equilibria and a limit cycle whose size drastically depends on the production rate (Formula presented.) of earthquakes and their time delay effect. As this takes place, the frequency of earthquakes possesses an oscillatory behavior dependent on (Formula presented.). To study the role of (Formula presented.) in more detail, we have introduced a white Gaussian noise in the governing equation. First of all, we have shown that the dynamical system is stochastically excitable, that is, it excites larger-amplitude noise-induced fluctuations in the frequency of earthquakes. In addition, these large-amplitude stochastic fluctuations can alternate with small-amplitude fluctuations over time. In other words, the frequency of earthquakes can change its amplitude in an irregular manner under the influence of white noise. Another important effect is how close the current value of (Formula presented.) is to its bifurcation point. The closer this value is, the less noise generates large-amplitude fluctuations in the earthquake frequency.
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U2 - 10.1002/mma.8892
DO - 10.1002/mma.8892
M3 - Conference article
VL - 47
SP - 6762
EP - 6769
JO - Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
JF - Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
SN - 0170-4214
IS - 8
ER -
ID: 56640164