Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review
Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review
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TY - GEN
T1 - Application of the Wavelet Data Transformation for the Time Series Forecasting by the Artificial Neural Network
T2 - book chapter
AU - Butorova, Anastasia
AU - Baglaeva, Elena
AU - Subbotina, Irina
AU - Sergeeva, Marina
AU - Sergeev, Aleksandr
AU - Shichkin, Andrey
AU - Buevich, Alexander
AU - Petrov, Pavel
N1 - The equipment of the Common Use Center of Arctic Environmental Research of the Institute of Industrial Ecology of the Ural Branch of RAS was used to measure the concentration of greenhouse gases on Bely Island.
PY - 2023/3/18
Y1 - 2023/3/18
N2 - The study tested how the wavelet transform of the data affects the accuracy of an artificial neural network model for forecasting surface methane concentration. A model based on the nonlinear autoregressive neural network with external input (NARX) was used. For comparison, we used the base NARX model and the hybrid model. The hybrid model was created based on the data to which the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) was applied. For DWT, the Daubechies wavelet of the fourth level was used. The initial data for the study were collected on the measurements of the concentration of greenhouse gases in the Russian Arctic zone. We evaluated the accuracy of the models by the following indicators: Mean absolute error, root mean square error, and the index of agreement. The proposed approach has improved the accuracy of the forecast. The accuracy of the hybrid model has increased by more than 10%.
AB - The study tested how the wavelet transform of the data affects the accuracy of an artificial neural network model for forecasting surface methane concentration. A model based on the nonlinear autoregressive neural network with external input (NARX) was used. For comparison, we used the base NARX model and the hybrid model. The hybrid model was created based on the data to which the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) was applied. For DWT, the Daubechies wavelet of the fourth level was used. The initial data for the study were collected on the measurements of the concentration of greenhouse gases in the Russian Arctic zone. We evaluated the accuracy of the models by the following indicators: Mean absolute error, root mean square error, and the index of agreement. The proposed approach has improved the accuracy of the forecast. The accuracy of the hybrid model has increased by more than 10%.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?partnerID=8YFLogxK&scp=85151063841
U2 - 10.1007/978-3-031-21484-4_32
DO - 10.1007/978-3-031-21484-4_32
M3 - Conference contribution
SN - 978-3-031-21483-7
T3 - Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics
SP - 365
EP - 370
BT - New Trends in the Applications of Differential Equations in Sciences
A2 - Slavova, A.
PB - Springer Cham
ER -
ID: 37097000